Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Result of 2009 Indian Parliamentary Elections ---An analysis

Tapan Kumar Ghosh

The election result of 2009 parliamentary election is quiet unexpected. Congress could not contemplate even in their wildest figment of imagination that they would cross 200. Their final tally is 206. BJP also got a rude jolt as they could garner only 116, a sharp drop from 138. Congress got a fresh lease of life. Advani's dream of becoming Prime Minister got shattered and possibly for good. BJP not only lost in terms of seats but it's votes also nosedived by more than 4%.

Let us critically review the results.

In our state of West Bengal as well as Kerala, Left Front stands humiliated with a total drubbing. They were routed out and.The leftists are trying to put the entire blame on Prakash Karat. It is a clever ploy to cover up the total communist msirule, despotism and corruption. A wrong strategy of Karat has disintegrated the third front in an irreversible manner but the primary reason for the communist debacle is rooted in their anti democratic and anti people policies.

A great blessing of this election outcome is that Bihar populace has banished Lalu and Rambilas Paswan and these bluff masters have got nothing except casteism, parochialism and regionalism in their kitty.

In northern India, in the Hindi heartland, Congress' revival can't be simply overlooked. In UP, Congress has bagged double the seats of BJP. In Bihar, Congress has bagged only three but it's vote share has gone up by more than 10%. In Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand; Congress has won hands down. It has fared reasonably well in Punjab and J & K. BJP's prestige has been saved by MP, HP and Gujarat. Bihar, Karnataka and Chattishgarh has given BJP a big boost.

Some questions crop up automatically.

Despite a huge success in Amarnath movement, what made BJP not even get a single seat in Jammu? Previously BJP was not a blank over there. This movement was initiated by Sangha Pariver. Is it false? In Tamilnadu a massive movement underwent over "Ramsetu" issue and it was crowned with success. Where is the result out of it? The biggest question is on Orissa. Here, BJP has drawn a flack, a sharp drop from seven to zero. In Chattishgarh, Dilip Singh Judeo of BJP is a prominent figure against Christian conversion. He has won with a massive margin and also made BJP win in that belt. But why BJP failed to win a single seat from the tribal belt of Orissa and even from Kandhamal where Swami Laxmanananda was assassinated? After the gruesome murder of Swamiji there was a mass upsurge amongst the tribals. Where did it evaporate? The answer lies on the event of 25th. December last year. VHP called a statewide Bandh that day in protest against the murder of Swamiji. However, VHP was compelled to withdraw the Bandh call under pressure from Sangha parivar and Advani just for the sake of saving the coalition government. It was once again proved that political interest was foremost in their mind. Ideology is only on their lip. The tribal society did not take this utter hypocrisy and chicanery lightly.

In Assam BJP got 4 seats out of 13. On what basis did BJP get those seats? Sangha Parivar is organizationally very week in Assam. Somebody may infer this success owing to coalition with AGP. This is absolutely wrong. Does AGP make BJP the senior partner in the coalition just like that without deliberating pros and cons? BJP can't garner votes in Delhi and Bombay on the plank of development. Is it not totally foolish to contemplate that BJP garners votes in Assam on development issue? So, the right conclusion is :-BJP got it's votes in Assam. Why? Because, Hindus know very well from their realistic, day to day experience that their very existence is at stake. So, they voted for BJP as a last resort.

BJP got those Hindu votes in large chunk in spite of possibly the weakest organization in Assam out of whole India. Had votes been representative of organizational strength then BJP would have got maximum votes in Kerala as RSS has maximum number of Shakhas in Kerala. However, during last 20 years, BJP votes have hovered in Kerala between 6% to 12%.

Dear readers, let us once again look at the ground reality. Congress will form a stable govt. at the centre for next five years. But the bigger issue remains that this election result would facilitate Rahul Gandhi becoming the future prime minister of India. Whether the country becomes strong, prosperous, developed or stable does not matter at all on election results, but if Rahul becomes PM in future, this degenerated Congress party would get a much needed stability. Gandhi could not walk without a stick and similarly Congress can't walk without the prop of a Gandhi.

Congress revived and re-assured it's prominence in the national scene because of Advani's leadership and Advani himself was nominated by RSS leadership.The issue of Hindutva and Ram Mandir movement pulled BJP up from 2 to 182. Then they started becoming secular, sorry 'pseudo secular'. Still Kargil issue held back their score. Lust for power also started looming large and cast it's dark shadow. All these contrived their thinking that if they become ultra secular, they would be able to increase the score from 182. That is what made them bury all issues related to Hindutva. They simply started cheating Hindus, played with delicate sentiment of Hindus. With an utopian slogan of 'India Shining' and false reading of pulse of electorate they face the 2004 election. The result from --- 182 to 134. That was not enough to utter even once " Hey Ram". The main protagonist of "India Shining" A B Vajpayee was elected from Uttar Pradesh. In Nineties UP was a citadel of BJP. BJP ran govt. in UP on it's own. In that very UP, BJP just got 10 out of 80. Still, addiction to pseudo-secularism did not go away. Lust for power is all pervasive. It numbs one's senses. Vajpayee was instrumental in constructing the national highway. This time Advani and Co. promised to construct Broadband and digital highway. They had firm conviction that they could ascend the throne of Delhi through the digital highway only and thus banished Ram's path. What a hue and cry was made on the day of launching Advani's website. Dr. Ranawat had come from USA to perform surgery on Vajpayee's knee but failed. Pramod Mahajan did neither succeed in curing Vajpayee's knee nor could he turn himself into the kingmaker by launching Advani into his digital trajectory.

Dear reader, you might be feeling hurt within but I am writhing with a deeper pain. I have worked as a RSS whole timer over three decades and it pinches me, it hurts me, it tramples my sentiment, it numbs my sensory nerve, it traumatises me. Dear reader, you are not aware of the following facts. When these so called great BJP leaders were central ministers, they gave directives in their own ministry that if any office bearer of any Hindu organization writes any letter- it need not be replied. Not only was any reply sent but also there was no acknowledgement of these letters. All other letters used to be replied as a routine.

We in RSS always used to pledge by 'Akhanda Bharat' i.e. " Undivided Motherland'. How is the character of so called BJP leaders? Vajpayee went to Pakistan, wore a white band of clothe across his forehead and kissed "Minar-e-Pakistan". Minar-e-Pakistan stands for Pakistani nationhood. By acknowledging this Minar-e-Pakistan, Vajpayee supported Pakistani nationhood and buried the resolve for our great undivided motherland. The visit was not obligatory for Vajpayee to do this. It was his characterlessness and abdication of ideology. When the head of state from Pakistan visits India, he visits Tajmahal but never goes to Rajghat to bow his head in front of epitaph of Gandhi.

Haj subsidy is provided to the Muslim pilgrims and Hindu pilgrims have to pay pilgrimage tax for Gangasagar Fair and other numerous places of pilgrimage. Previously from three embankment centers, Haj pilgrims used to fly. Vajpayee's aviation minister Shanawaz Hussain increased that from three to twelve. In Kishanganj, Vajpayee declared that he would give employment to two lakh Urdu teachers. In Jharkhand, BJP made Urdu the second state language. We, nationalists had agenda like Uniform civil code, scrapping of article 370. These all became back benchers in the Government agenda on the pretext of coalition politics. They stooped to such a low level that they also scrapped these main agendas from BJP's programmes. Not a single infiltrator got arrested. These all resulted in the defeat for BJP in 2004. The greatest credential for any entity is it's credibility. BJP had lost that. Common people came to understand that what BJP professes, it does not follow that. But the leaders were like Ostrich with their necks submerged into deep quagmire.

Thereafter came UPA of Sonia Manmohan. This Government failed in all fronts. Inflation had rocketed. Every week, Jehadi terrorist attack, in some city or other. It continued as a routine and numerous innocent lives got sacrificed. At last came the 26/11. Indian prestige in the international arena got shattered. BJP left no stone unturned to propagate against the same. During the shooting period, no less a person than the stature of Narendra Modi visited the spot. They projected Advani as a strong leader with a decisive Govt. Still people turned them down. People did not believe them. They have already lost their credibility. In Mumbai, Congress bagged all the Six seats. BJP in it's own city Delhi got zero. Even in Gujrat BJP got one more seat but lost 0.9% vote. Modi is over zealous to project himself as Vikash Purush. It could be a fallout of that.In a nutshell, BJP went in a secular mode and it was badly defeated in 1984 & 2004. Advani made BJP bite the dust in 2009. The word secular is great but in Indian real politik it's real meaning is appeasement, blatant minority appeasement and pandering to the base instincts to the fullest extent. Advani went to Pakistan and termed Jinnah as secular. This Jinnah was responsible for division of India that resulted in the genocide and bloodbath of millions of Hindus.

Had there been no Varun Gandhi, BJP would have been in single digit in UP. Varun Gandhi won with a huge margin of 2.3 lakh votes with a Hindu flag in his hands and purely on a Hindu agenda even during the worst BJP plight. Is that Hindu vote or secular vote? BJP garners Hindu votes and dreams of distorted secularism under the influence of media which itself is corrupt, immoral and bribed by petro dollars. In the yore, one foolish Brahmin had a goat but ten frauds repeatedly kept on misleading that foolish Brahmin that it was a dog and the Brahmin abandoned the goat thinking it to be a dog. BJP grew up from 2 to 182 on Hindutva. Analogically, BJP has left Hindutva equating it to be a dog rather than a goat and has declined to 116. It will fall further. However, if BJP gets CONGRESSIZED fully, it will rise again. The young generation leaders of BJP are striving hard to bring in Congressization into BJP.

The greatest question as of today is that whether these gross flaws are confined only to the topmost rung of the party or whether the entire stratum and structure of the party has been Vajpayeeized and Advanized. The true answer to this question would dictate the party in future. That would be the rudder for the party. That would determine the level of obnoxious pollution within the party and how the purging movement could be carried out and if at all this purging movement would be carried out or not. If the answer is in negative, it would create a process of deoxygenating that does not allow any healthy existence. Some optimists in the top rung of RSS like Sri Ashok Singhal think that this disease and distortion is confined to few leaders only and in general the party mechanism is normal. But many veterans hold an opposite view. Many of them who hold this opposite view have dedicated their entire life span for Mother India. In that case, we need to echo the famous 2001 utterance of Shri Ashok Singhal:- " In India, Hindus are politically orphan". So, Hindus badly need a new platform today.


What is Congressization?

Congress as of present date can be best described as a conglomeration of opportunists and self seekers. This trend is very predominant over last four decades. It has not even slightest trace of organizational infrastructure anywhere and it is and it was not a cohesive party but a platform. Anybody may come in and anybody may go out at any point of time. It is the empire of one dynasty and loyalty is the only criterion. Naturally, merit can't coexist with flattery. So, this so called party revolves around a culture that panders to lower base instincts. Indira Gandhi's husband Feroze Khan was a Muslim and so all in Gandhi family bear the legacy of Muslim blood and Muslim appeasement thus becomes a natural corollary. There are regional satraps in every province who maintain their seat of power only and only owing to close proximity with that single family. Sons and daughters automatically get nomination for contesting and no growth in the party is envisaged for organizational acumen but only on relational proximity and being in the good book of some or other influential office bearers. This culture does not only exist in Indian National Congress but also every offshoot and branch that it has shed like Trinamool Congress, Tamil Manila Congress etc. Only personality cult reigns supreme. Whatever Mamata says is the first word and last word and whatever she decides is the final policy in Trinamool Congress and no second thought can be conceived of. Proximity and closeness to her decides one's position in the party. Ayarams and Gayarams are a common feature of this culture and this movement depends on one's opportunistic suitability.

This very mean Congress culture is going to engulf BJP. This is most worrisome and this degenerative process has set in. Advani's daughter with no political experience but only on the strength of being Advani's daughter wants to be projected onto the political projectile. Naturally, those who are dedicated enough and have gone up the rung feel dejected and disheartened. The classic example can be cited from the money bag manager of BJP---late Pramod Mahajan. After his murder, his son Rahul was to fly to Assam for being projected the future leader of the party. Unfortunately, he got critically ill for taking heroine beyond his tolerable limit. Pramod's personal secretary Vivek Maitra even died because of overdose. This just got highlighted because of this death but many such malice have crept deep inside BJP, but BJP was launched as " a party with a difference". Dear reader, judge yourself--where it stands today. There are many Pramods behind your eyes those you know not. Many office bearers could not reconcile with this fact. These type of characterless, parvenu who are absoloutely devoid of any ideology are trying to call the shots in BJP.